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Who’s Picking Who?

Predictions are such a cliche, aren’t they? But, hey, the Tigers are in the postseason and in the spirit of supporting the home team, here’s a rundown of predictions for the Tigers/Yankees series from across the baseball galaxy:

Local Writers

  • Tom Gage: Tigers in five
  • Lynn Henning: Tigers in five
  • Tony Paul: Tigers in five
  • Bob Wojnowski: Tigers in five
  • John Niyo: Yankees in five
  • Mitch Albom: Tigers in five
  • John Lowe: Tigers in five
  • Michael Rosenberg: Tigers in five
  • Drew Sharp: Tigers in four

New York Writers

Newsday

  • Erik Boland (Yankees beat reporter): Tigers in four
  • Mark Herrmann: Yankees in four
  • Jim Baumbach: Tigers in four
    Anthony Rieber: Tigers in five

  • David Lennon: Tigers in five
  • Kimberley A. Martin: Yankees in five
  • Ken Davidoff: Yankees in four

ESPN

  • Jim Bowden: Yankees in five
  • Jim Caple: Tigers in five
  • Jerry Crasnick: Yankees in four
  • Jayson Stark: Tigers in five
  • Eric Karabell: Tigers in five
  • Curt Schilling: Tigers
  • John Kruk: Yankees
  • Keith Law: Yankees
  • Howard Bryant: Yankees in four
  • Dave Schoenfield: Yankees in five
  • Christina Kahrl: Tigers in five

Fox Sports

  • Ken Rosenthal: Tigers in five
  • Jon Paul Morosi: Tigers

The CBSSports.com Crew

Yahoo! Sports

  • Jeff Passan: Yankees in four
  • Kevin Kaduk: Yankees in four
  • Steve Henson: Tigers in five
  • Dave Brown: Tigers in five

And one final prediction: on the ride to work on Thursday I heard Larry King call into Power Alley with Jim Duquette and Kevin Kennedy on SiriusXM. Ol’ Larry picks the Tigers, for what it’s worth.

The Tale of 2011, Told Through Power Rankings Comments

One of my favorite parts of being the Tigers blogger on ESPN.com’s SweetSpot Network is contributing to the weekly MLB Power Rankings. While I don’t have a vote in where the Tigers rank, I do have a tiny voice in reporting the state of the club.

Rather than do a traditional season recap, here’s how the 2011 Tigers season unfolded, one week — and one comment — at a time.

WEEK RECORD RANK COMMENT
Week 1 1-2 15 Tigers pitchers solved Mark Teixeira’s early-season hitting woes — surrendering three homers to him in as many games during the opening weekend — and were lucky to leave the Bronx with one win.
Week 2 3-6 23 Other than a dominant performance by Justin Verlander against the Orioles and similar work by Phil Coke in his first start, the otherwise Tigers stunk it up last week with a dormant offense, dropping two of three to the Royals at Comerica (three hits off Bruce Chen?).
Week 3 7-9 16 The Tigers are starting to string together wins more regularly but won’t be able to do so consistently until the offense is better balanced. Their most urgent need is getting leadoff man Austin Jackson (.175 batting average) going — and fast.
Week 4 12-10 14 The Tigers used dominant pitching and opportunistic hitting to sweep the White Sox and finish a 5-1 week. Detroit pitchers held the Sox scoreless over the last 20 innings of the series.
Week 5 12-16 20 Back-to-back sweeps, first to the Mariners then to the Indians, have left the Tigers reeling. Free-agent prize Joaquin Benoit surrendered six earned runs in two-thirds of an inning this week and was tagged for two of the losses against the Tribe.
Week 6 17-18 16 Fans of the Jekyll and Hyde Tigers are in better spirits after a week in which they took three-of-four from the Yankees, Justin Verlander no-hit the Blue Jays and leadoff hitter Austin Jackson at last showed signs of life (8-for-24 this week) at the plate.
Week 7 22-18 9 From swoon to surge in a matter of weeks. The Tigers have won seven straight and 10 of their last 11. Speaking of surges, Jhonny Peralta hit .529 for the week to raise his season average to .307.
Week 8 23-23 14 So much for momentum. The once-surging Tigers scored 10 runs in their last six games — only five in the three-game weekend series against the Pirates. At the same time, the bullpen has unraveled, posting an ERA over 14.50 last week.
Week 9 26-26 16 Want just one reason the schizophrenic Tigers trail the Indians by six games? How about a run differential of minus-11 versus Cleveland’s plus-45?
Week 10 31-27 15 The Tigers are only 2.5 games behind the Indians for many reasons, including seventh-inning specialist Al Alburquerque. Last week, he struck out nine and allowed one hit in 4.1 scoreless innings. He has 35 K’s in 19.2 IP so far in ’11.
Week 11 35-30 10 The first-place Tigers’ offense depends on a lot of things, not the least of which is the suddenly hot Austin Jackson. After two sleepy months the Tigers’ leadoff man is hitting .370 in June with a .420 OBP.
Week 12 39-33 6 The past week belonged to Justin Verlander, who nearly threw his second no-hitter of the season on Tuesday. His line from two complete-game starts last week: 18 IP, 1 R, 6 H, 1 BB, 17 K. Oh, and this month he’s 4-0 with a 1.06 ERA in four starts.
Week 13 42-36 9 Three Tigers tidbits: In his start against the D-backs on Friday, Justin Verlander had 14 strikeouts. In his last 10 games, Austin Jackson has 14 strikeouts. Joaquin Benoit seems to have settled down: he’s allowed just two runs in his last 10 appearances (8.1 IP).
Week 14 45-40 11 Tigers pitchers surrendered 14 or more runs three times last week and 32 in a three-game set against the Mets. The 54-run total likely cost pitching coach Rick Knapp his job on Sunday.
Week 15 49-43 13 For the fourth time in Jim Leyland’s six years as Tigers manager, the club is in first place in the AL Central at the All-Star break. And last year they were only a half-game back. How this team finishes will determine if Leyland gets a seventh season in Detroit.
Week 16 50-45 13 The Tigers continue to play with fire: They’ve lost six of their past eight series but still manage to hang around the top of the AL Central. Look for them to make upgrades via trade soon to fuel a more consistent run to the division title.
Week 17 54-47 9 It looks like the Tigers have solved their second base problem with Carlos Guillen’s return to the lineup. Lou Whitaker he’ll never be, but if Guillen hits anywhere close to the .360 he’s posted in his first seven games, the Tigers will take the tradeoff of his slow-footed defense.
Week 18 57-51 10 After posting a 13-13 record in July, the Tigers look ahead to August, when they’ll face Central Division foes in six of nine series — including six games against the second-place Indians.
Week 19 61-53 10 The Tigers enter the week with a four-game lead on the Indians. With a three-game set on tap in Cleveland (one that unfortunately won’t feature a Justin Verlander-Ubaldo Jimenez matchup), they’re poised to put some serious distance between themselves and the Tribe.
Week 20 64-56 10 If the Tigers are determined not to run away with the AL Central, it mirrors their approach to winning games. The club’s last eight wins all were by one run. Their last win of more than a lone run came on July 29, a 12-2 win over the Angels.
Week 21 68-58 9 If you told Tigers fans a week ago that Delmon Young and Brandon Inge would play key roles in wins over the Twins and Indians, they’d have asked what bizarro world they were living in. Young batted .308 with two homers during the just-completed homestand and Inge homered in his first at-bat after returning from Triple-A.
Week 22 73-60 7 August has been a breakthrough month for the Tigers: Justin Verlander won his 20th game, the tireless Alex Avila is hitting .400, and Jose Valverde continues to rack up saves — to the tune of 39 straight. And they’re six up on the Indians, four more than on Aug. 1.
Week 23 78-62 8 Austin Jackson is getting hot at the right time for the Tigers. The leadoff man hit .500 last week (16-for-32) with two doubles, three triples and a pair of homers. What’s more, he had nine hits in the weekend sweep of the White Sox.
Week 24 84-62 4 How have the Tigers strung together nine straight wins? For starters, their standard lineup is hitting .339 so far in September, led by Victor Martinez at .361. Meanwhile, setup man Joaquin Benoit hasn’t surrendered a run since Aug. 2, a span of 16 2/3 innings.
Week 25 89-64 3 With the AL Central title secured, there’s little drama left for the Tigers. Remaining questions: Can Jose Valverde pad his his club record for saves and sustain his season-long perfection? And how many wins over 90 can they notch over the final 10 days of the regular season?
Week 26 92-67 5 The Tigers’ last bit of remaining business is to catch or pass the Rangers to secure home-field advantage in the ALDS. If Detroit and Texas finish with the same record, the Tigers will hold the tiebreaker.

Coping with the Post-Clincher Letdown

I guess if you watch enough baseball in your life you do get to experience just about everything. From the delirium of 1984 and ’06 to the body blow that was Game 163, I thought I’d gone through every emotion as a Tigers fan.

Then came Saturday morning. That’s when the letdown set in and I’ll be damned if I can’t shake it.

This is new terrain for me.

In 1984, the Tigers clinched the American League East with 11 games remaining on the schedule. The same is true this year. Twenty-seven years ago, at least as I remember it, those final games seemed to zip by as the Tigers prepared for the ALCS against the Royals. (Sparky’s club went 7-4 after securing the division title.)

This year, though, these final games are nothing short of excruciating – like a baseball version of “The English Patient“. (Add a Tuesday-night disaster from Brad Penny and it only gets worse.)

Maybe the remaining games will gain some zip when the Tigers return home on Thursday for the final two series of the season and get a raucous welcome home from the Detroit faithful.

Let’s get to the playoffs already.

Am I alone on this?

Random Thoughts on the Clincher

Watching the Tigers celebrate in the visitors clubhouse Friday night was surreal in a lot of ways. There they were, spraying champagne on the likes of John Keating and generally, in the words of George Kell, kicking up their heels in Oakland.

I was pleasantly surprised that MLB Extra Innings allowed extra airtime for the revelry. Usually they clip the broadcast right after the final out. Here are some things that came to mind as I watched:

The Unexpected Crew. Brandon Inge fielding the final out was, as noted elsewhere, fitting as the longest-tenured Tigers player. Two months ago it would’ve surprised no one if we never saw Inge again given his miserable first half, but there he was. … Then there was Ryan Raburn, another frustrating player (understatement?) that emerged from his first-half slumber to get some big hits – none bigger than this one two weeks ago. … Don Kelly‘s homer on Friday only solidified his position as an essential piece of this team. I have to admit that I cringe whenever I see him in the starting lineup but he rarely disappoints … Delmon Young has effortlessly worked his way into this team’s lineup and it seems less and less odd to see him in a Tigers uniform … Magglio Ordonez seemed about as done as a player can be, but has hit enough to be a scary option off the bench and especially in the playoffs. What other team can boast someone of Maggs’ caliber in a pinch-hitting role?

Dour Dave Lightens Up. It’s not often that you see Dave Dombrowski smile, at least not like this. Friday night was something to behold, watching the usually buttoned-down CEO getting doused with champagne and wearing that God-awful hat. It really is too bad that Mike Ilitch couldn’t attend, and what sad circumstances too.

The Brookens Factor. The last two times before Friday night that the Tigers have won a division title, Tom Brookens was in uniform. I wonder what it felt like for him as a coach to be a part of Tigers division crown. Too bad it couldn’t have happened with Tram, Gibby and Lance on staff.

With the Central title in hand, let’s see how far above 90 wins the Tigers can get while we wait for the ALDS matchup.

Sept. 18 SABR Detroit Chapter Meeting Features Terrific Lineup of Speakers and Topics

Rod Nelson sent along word of the next meeting of the Society for American Baseball Research (SABR) Detroit Chapter. If you love Tigers baseball — and baseball in general — you can never go wrong attending a SABR event. Rod shares the following details:

As the Tigers close in on their first October appearance in five years, the SABR Detroit Chapter has put together a program that covers all the bases. Featured speakers include an expert on race and gender issues in baseball along with two individuals who were part of the Detroit organization when the Tigers last won the World Series.

If you have not attended a meeting in while, give this one a try even if you can only stop in for a part of the afternoon. Remember, too, that you are welcome to bring friends and family—whether SABR members or not.

If that isn’t enough baseball to sate you, the Sunday afternoon docket comes with added attractions:

  • An opportunity to have lunch and talk baseball before the meeting begins;
  • The inevitable and always popular trivia contest, with prizes for the winners; and,
  • A chance to watch the Tigers while chowing down on pizza at Lefty’s Lounge across the street.

Sept. 18 Program Speakers

  • Lisa Alexander will speak about “Race on First, Class on Second, Gender on Third, and Sexuality Up to Bat: Intersectionality and Power in Major League Baseball, 1995–2005. Alexander is a professor of Africana studies at Wayne State and is currently editing her dissertation for publication. She is also versed on race issues around steroids, the diminishing number of black baseball players, and former Negro Leagues owner and Hall of Famer Effa Manley. Watch a video preview of Dr. Alexander’s discussion.
  • Irwin J. Cohen was the founder, editor and publisher of a monthly baseball publication in the 1970s and his roster of 20 writers included Peter Gammons, Tracy Ringolsby and Ernie Harwell. Cohen worked as a department head in the Tigers’ front office in the Monaghan era and earned a 1984 World Series ring. Cohen has authored nine books, including Tiger Stadium, Crosley Field and Comiskey Park for Arcadia Publishing. His latest book Tiger Stadium/Comerica Park is, of course, a history of the two familiar ballparks as well as an inside look at working in the Detroit front office.
  • Howard Stitzel engineered the Tigers’ radio broadcasts for more than 50 years, working with Harry Heilmann, Mel Ott, Ernie Harwell and Paul Carey, among other broadcasters. Stitzel also spent plenty of time on planes talking about the radio business with former Tigers owner Tom Monaghan.

Logistics

Location: Community Room/Special Collections Room on the third floor of the David Adamany Undergraduate Library on the Wayne State campus in Midtown Detroit.

Parking: Street parking should be ample on Sunday. If you are planning on going to Lefty’s afterward, you should park on Cass Avenue or Kirby Street if possible.

Time: 1-4 p.m. Note that the Lions are playing at Ford Field at 1 o’clock, so you might want to allow for the extra traffic on your way in.

Tigers Game and Pizza

Afterward, we will walk over to Lefty’s Lounge to watch the Tigers play the Athletics in Oakland. First pitch is at 4:10. While enjoying pizza & beer at Lefty’s friendly sports bar, we should get a chance to talk to one of the southpaw owners, Ron Way and David Marcon — both of whom pitched in the minor leagues.

Please RSVP to Gary Gillette if you expect to attend. Or leave a voice message at (313) 331-3423. If you want to come early for the box lunch from Union Street, we will send an order form to you upon receiving your RSVP.